2021–2026
“Optimism as I define it has to do with knowledge. It's not a prediction of the future, it's an explanation of failure. If you explain failure as being inevitable, or due to some malevolent force, insuperable malevolent force, or just the way things are, then that's a recipe for stasis, which is a recipe for failure and eventually death. Therefore I think that all failure has to be explained in the form: the reason we didn't succeed is that we didn't know how to, and the knowledge of how to is in principle attainable. We don't have it now, but we could have it in the future if we do the right thing. In fact, it follows from this whole conception of knowledge that we've been talking about all this time that optimism has to be true. Otherwise there would be a limitation, which would mean the supernatural and all that stuff that — the arguments are watertight all the way from the scientific worldview to optimism, in my view.”






